{"id":62940,"date":"2023-10-09T09:56:34","date_gmt":"2023-10-09T07:56:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.salesflare.com\/entity\/forecasting"},"modified":"2023-10-09T09:56:34","modified_gmt":"2023-10-09T07:56:34","slug":"forecasting","status":"publish","type":"entity","link":"https:\/\/blog.salesflare.com\/pl\/entity\/prognozowanie","title":{"rendered":"Prognozowanie"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prognozowanie to proces tworzenia stwierdze\u0144 dotycz\u0105cych zdarze\u0144, kt\u00f3rych rzeczywiste wyniki (zazwyczaj) nie zosta\u0142y jeszcze zaobserwowane. Typowym przyk\u0142adem mo\u017ce by\u0107 oszacowanie pewnej zmiennej b\u0119d\u0105cej przedmiotem zainteresowania w okre\u015blonym terminie w przysz\u0142o\u015bci. Prognozowanie jest podobnym, ale bardziej og\u00f3lnym terminem. Oba mog\u0105 odnosi\u0107 si\u0119 do formalnych metod statystycznych wykorzystuj\u0105cych szeregi czasowe, dane przekrojowe lub pod\u0142u\u017cne, lub alternatywnie do mniej formalnych metod oceny. U\u017cycie mo\u017ce r\u00f3\u017cni\u0107 si\u0119 w zale\u017cno\u015bci od obszaru zastosowania: na przyk\u0142ad w hydrologii terminy \"prognoza\" i \"prognozowanie\" s\u0105 czasami zarezerwowane dla szacunk\u00f3w warto\u015bci w okre\u015blonych okre\u015blonych momentach w przysz\u0142o\u015bci, podczas gdy termin \"przewidywanie\" jest u\u017cywany do bardziej og\u00f3lnych szacunk\u00f3w, takich jak liczba powodzi, kt\u00f3re wyst\u0105pi\u0105 w d\u0142ugim okresie. Ryzyko i niepewno\u015b\u0107 maj\u0105 kluczowe znaczenie dla prognozowania i przewidywania; og\u00f3lnie uwa\u017ca si\u0119 za dobr\u0105 praktyk\u0119 wskazanie stopnia niepewno\u015bci zwi\u0105zanego z prognozami. W ka\u017cdym przypadku dane musz\u0105 by\u0107 aktualne, aby prognoza by\u0142a jak najdok\u0142adniejsza.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Forecasting is the process of making statements about events whose actual outcomes (typically) have not yet been observed. A commonplace […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"wl_entities_gutenberg":"","_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"wl_entity_type":[114],"class_list":["post-62940","entity","type-entity","status-publish","hentry","wl_entity_type-thing"],"yoast_head":"\nForecasting | Salesflare Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forecasting | Salesflare Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Forecasting is the process of making statements about events whose actual outcomes (typically) have not yet been observed. 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